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Thursday, July 10, 2014

The Big Picture

The Big Picture


Virtual Currencies

Posted: 10 Jul 2014 02:00 AM PDT

Marc Faber: Here Comes the Bear Market

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 04:30 PM PDT

Give credit where credit is due: Faber admits his prior crash forecast(s) were wrong.

How wrong? Calculated Risk observes that the market is up 40% since his 2012 prediction.

 

Marc Faber: The asset bubble has begun to burst, here comes the bear market

Source: CNBC

 

10 Wednesday PM Reads

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 02:00 PM PDT

My afternoon train reads :

• BlackRock: The $4.3 trillion force (Fortune)
• Workers are cutting back on stock of their own companies in a welcome sign of investment maturity (MoneyBeat) see also Dow 17,000 is on the wrong side of history (MarketWatch)
Michael Lewis: Deeb the Conqueror Bears His Soul Before Mama (Bloomberg View)
• We’re number…nine?  When it comes to financial literacy, American teens are downright mediocre (Real Time Economics)
• Family money talks (Fidelity)
• Iraq’s ISIS Is Eclipsing Al-Qaeda, Especially With Young Jihadists (Newsweek) see also ISIS-Linked Blog: Bitcoin Can Fun Terrorist Movements Worldwide (CoinDesk)
• Refinancing could save these homeowners nearly $200 a month.  Here’s why they won’t do it. (WonkBlog)
• 5 Simple Notions That Help Solve Problems (Farnam Street)
• Solar has won.  Even if coal were free to burn, power stations couldn’t compete (The Guardian) see also Deutsche Bank Lends $1B in Japan’s Solar Gold Rush (Bloomberg)
• The 25 Best Movies of 2014 (So Far) (Paste)

What are you reading?

 

Perpetual Run-Up

Source: WSJ

 

How Not to Beat the Market

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 11:30 AM PDT

inflow outflow

Hat tip Josh Brown

 

Today's chart comes to us from Patrick O’Shaughnessy, author of the forthcoming book, “Millennial Money: How Young Investors Can Build a Fortune.” O’Shaughnessy makes the observation that investing is "almost free" and investor behavior tends to matter more than their actual investments.

As an example, he cites this chart.  Continues here

 

 

Summers in the Future

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 09:15 AM PDT

10 Wednesday AM Reads

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 07:00 AM PDT

My morning reads, perfect for hump day (continues here):

• Why trading volume is tumbling, explained in 5 charts (MarketWatch)
• Are you the best trader ever? (Irrelevant Investor) see also 7 market myths that make investors poorer (MarketWatch)
• A Fourth of July inflation bugaboo (Columbia Journalism Review)
• Born in 1988. Sorry. (Bloomberg View) but see A sign of economic health: 2.5 million people quit their jobs in May, most since 2008 (Real Time Economics)

Continues here

Freeriding Corporations Need to Pay their Fair Share

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 05:45 AM PDT

Br8ZRliIYAAksS_

Allan Sloan, editor-at-large for Fortune magazine, is angry.

And with good reason: He is upset at a lot of U.S. corporate executives who are engaging in “inversion." This is the process of moving the location of incorporation to a tax haven and skipping out on paying U.S. taxes (short list here). Even though the company is still headquartered in the U.S. and derives much of its revenue and profits here, the company becomes a foreign entity.

In a cover story this month titled “Positively un-American tax dodges,” he writes: "All of this threatens to undermine our tax base, with projected losses in the billions. It also threatens to undermine the American public's already shrinking respect for big corporations." He is as angrier at corporate America than he has been any time since the financial crisis, and you should be too. "The spectacle of American corporations deserting our country to dodge taxes while expecting to get the same benefits that good corporate citizens get" is unacceptable. continues here

1980s Parallel to Today

Posted: 09 Jul 2014 03:10 AM PDT

On today's "Chart Attack," Bloomberg’s Barry Ritholtz looks at a chart that suggests the S&P 500 Index could be headed for a major crash. He speaks with Trish Regan on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart."

What the 1982-87 Parallel to Today Could Mean

~~~

JPMorgan’s James Liu, Global Financial Private Capital’s Mike Sorrentino and Bloomberg’s Barry Ritholtz discuss the outlook for U.S. stocks and Federal Reserve monetary policy on “Street Smart.

Are Stocks at the Beginning of a Serious Bull Run?

~~~

Alcoa reported second-quarter earnings and sales that beat analysts' expectations after an increase in the price of aluminum including regional delivery premiums. JPMorgan’s James Liu and Bloomberg’s Trish Regan, Julie Hyman, Matt Miller and Barry Ritholtz take a look at the numbers on “Street Smart

Alcoa Earnings Beat After Jump in Aluminum Premiums

Source: Bloomberg, July 8 2014

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