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Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Paul Kedrosky's Infectious Greed

Paul Kedrosky's Infectious Greed


The End of “Easy Oil”

Posted: 23 May 2011 11:20 PM PDT

Useful WSJ piece tonight on the end of “easy oil”. Mind you, it does get lost in heavy oil hopes for a while, before circling back at the end to concede the following:

An even bigger challenge is getting the two crucial elements for generating steam: water and a source of energy to boil it. Most successful steam projects are in places with easy access to relatively pure water and a cheap fuel source, usually natural gas. Saudi Arabia and Kuwait have little of either.

With no fresh-water sources in the Arabian desert, Chevron has been forced to use salt water found in the same underground reservoirs as the oil. That water is full of contaminants that must be removed before it can be boiled and injected into the ground.

Finding the energy to boil the water will be even tougher. Chevron could use oil instead of natural gas—literally burning oil to produce oil—but that would burn profits, too. So the company likely will be forced to import natural gas from overseas, an expensive process that involves chilling it to turn it into a liquid, then shipping it thousands of miles.

Some experts are shaking their heads.

“They’re in trouble,” says Robert Toronyi, a retired Chevron engineer who now serves as chief operating officer for Quantum Reservoir Impact, a Houston-based consulting firm. He says the project is so challenging that it will be hard for Chevron to turn much of a profit.

via Saudi Arabia Puts Efforts Into Tapping Heavy-Oil Deposits – WSJ.com.


Field Notes: Lists, Opulence, Physics, Grimsvotn, Federer, Star Wars, etc.

Posted: 23 May 2011 10:44 PM PDT

  • Tepco admits three reactors melted down (Source)
  • 300 years of list-making (Source)
  • The Opulence Bubble (Source)
  • Fairholmes Bruce Berkowitz Is Beating Hedge Fund Managers At Their Own Game (Source)
  • Experimental Physics and The Limits Of Human Knowledge – We Are Crossing the Boundary Between Knowledge and Belief (Source)
  • Joplin, Missouri, tornado: Warnings pale in season of violent twisters – CSMonitor.com (Source)
  • Pics: Grimsvotn Volcano Erupts in Iceland (Source)
  • Keeping tabs on the Grímsvötn eruption as the ash spreads towards Europe (Source)
  • Greece, the unbearable heaviness of debt (Source)
  • Radio host says Rapture actually coming in October (Source)
  • Federer Is No Longer the Focus at the French Open (Source)
  • Extreme weather on Mt Everest (Source)
  • The most awesomely savage Stars Wars review ever (Source)


Serial Bubble-Callers R Us

Posted: 23 May 2011 12:40 PM PDT

We drive through capital markets using rearview mirrors. As a result, we spot the last bubble… [cont.]

[Full post at my Bloomberg blog]


Money Is and Has Always Been a Problem

Posted: 23 May 2011 12:40 PM PDT

Interesting and perceptive comments on money’s rise and fall from Square’s… [cont.]

[Full post at my Bloomberg blog]


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